Eagles vs Giants Arbitrage Bet Opportunity (ROI: 41.2%)

(ROI: 41.2%) Arbitrage bet for Eagles vs Giants: Bet 1 DraftKings under 21.5 points at +600 stake $201.75. Bet 2 BetMGM over 21.5 points at -130 stake $798.25. Total stakes $1000. Potential net profit over $411 in both scenarios.

Introduction

An arbitrage opportunity has been identified in the upcoming NFL game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the New York Giants scheduled for January 5, 2025, at 8:03 pm. This analysis provides an objective examination of the betting data to assess the viability of this sports betting opportunity.

Analysis

Two bets have been identified across different bookmakers that, when combined, cover all possible outcomes of the total points scored in the game.

Bet 1:

  • Bookmaker: DraftKings
  • Market: Alternate Totals
  • Outcome: Under 21.5 points
  • Odds: +600 (Decimal odds: 7.00)
  • Stake: $201.75

Bet 2:

  • Bookmaker: BetMGM
  • Market: Totals
  • Outcome: Over 21.5 points
  • Odds: -130 (Decimal odds: 1.7692)
  • Stake: $798.25

The total stakes amount to $1,000 ($201.75 on Bet 1 and $798.25 on Bet 2). The bets are structured such that one of them will win based on the total points scored being either under or over 21.5.

Discussion

Scenario 1: Total Points Under 21.5

If the game ends with 21 or fewer total points:

  • Bet 1 Wins: Returns $1,412.25 ($201.75 x 7.00)
  • Profit from Bet 1: $1,210.50 ($1,412.25 - $201.75 stake)
  • Bet 2 Loses: Loss of $798.25 stake
  • Net Profit: $412.25 ($1,210.50 - $798.25)

Scenario 2: Total Points Over 21.5

If the game ends with 22 or more total points:

  • Bet 2 Wins: Returns approximately $1,411.52 ($798.25 x 1.7692)
  • Profit from Bet 2: $613.27 ($1,411.52 - $798.25 stake)
  • Bet 1 Loses: Loss of $201.75 stake
  • Net Profit: Approximately $411.52 ($613.27 - $201.75)

In both scenarios, the net profit remains over $411, representing a return on investment of approximately 41% on the total stakes.

Conclusion

The analysis indicates that the two bets effectively cover all possible outcomes regarding the total points scored in the game. The calculated net profits are consistent in both scenarios, suggesting a potential arbitrage betting opportunity. This evaluation remains objective, focusing solely on the provided data and the mathematical implications of the bets.

Disclaimer

This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Always ensure compliance with local laws and regulations regarding sports betting and arbitrage betting.

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